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The launch of America's first satellite-radio service was not without its hitches. XM Satellite Radio, the
first firm to go live in the United States, began broadcasting late last year. But its start had already been
postponed following September 11th. Eventually, when Hugh Panera, XM Radio's chief executive, was
able to flip the switch, the company's two geostationary satellites began beaming 100 channels of CD-
quality music and talk to listeners in San Diego and Dallas—the two first test markets.
But no sooner had the trials started than another problem emerged. The solar arrays on both of XM's
Boeing 702 satellites were found to be degrading faster than expected. The estimated 15-year lifespan of
the $150m satellites was suddenly cut in half. It is a good thing that XM keeps a spare.
Such technical snags do not trouble Mr Panera. Nor do they bother executives at Sirius Satellite Radio in
New York, XM's only American competitor at the moment, which has been equally plagued with high-
tech hiccups. If XM and Sirius succeed in rejuvenating the geriatric analogue radio industry with dozens
of niche music, news and entertainment channels available to anyone, anywhere, in America's lower 48
states, even the most ardent sceptics will forgive their embarrassing start.
But XM and Sirius are not alone in the heavens. With plans to launch a third satellite within the next year,
WorldSpace, based in Washington, DC, will serve South America, Western Europe, Africa and Asia with
40-odd channels in more than 20 languages—including Swahili, Tamil and Thai. WorldSpace plans to
equip 30,000 Kenyan schools with receivers in the hope of profiting from a distance-learning initiative.
Meanwhile, Global Radio in Luxembourg is aiming to start its satellite service in 2005. It will target
Eastern and Western Europe with six “spot” beams from three satellites delivering 150 channels in ten
languages.
Even conventional radio operators are diligently preparing for the inevitable shift to digital. In August
2000, a merger of Lucent Digital Radio and USA Digital Radio formed iBiquity Digital in Columbia,
Maryland. Robert Struble, the company's chief executive, wants to persuade analogue radio operators to
upgrade because he is convinced that flawless sound—packaged with regional news and local
personalities—will keep listeners loyal to AM and FM.
It is satellite radio—with its ability to broadcast nationally or even across whole continents—that tantalises
media analysts. Most expect satellite radio to aggregate niche markets that would not normally be
profitable. That could shake up the antiquated radio world much as cable challenged network television in
the 1980s. Mr Panera, who spent a decade with Time Warner Cable and five years at Request TV, an
American pay-per-view network, remembers when the television networks scoffed at the introduction of
cable. He believes that many of those broadcasters fell behind because they failed to embrace the
technology.
Nevertheless, satellite radio cannot depend on the same lures as cable providers, who tempt prospective
customers with complimentary receiver boxes and free home set-up. None of the satellite-radio firms will
be giving away $229 receivers or doing installation for nothing. Mark Fratrick, a radio analyst with BIA
Financial Network, predicts that even after satellite firms smooth out the technical wrinkles, it will still be
tough to persuade millions of potential listeners to upgrade. In five to ten years, Mr Fratrick reckons that
companies such as XM will win a respectable share of the market. In the meantime, XM and Sirius are
going to need all the cash they have got.
In 1992, America's Federal Communications Commission (FCC) earmarked a slab of the country's radio
spectrum for something called Digital Audio Radio Service. At the time, the technology for compressing
packets of digital music and voice—and transmitting them from orbiting satellites 23,000 miles above the
equator to cheap little receivers on the ground—was barely on the drawing-board. But two companies
with a little imagination and a lot of cash snapped up chunks of the spectrum being offered in the newly
available S-band (around 2.3 gigahertz). American Mobile Radio and CD Radio paid the FCC $80m each
for the rights to rain digital entertainment from the heavens. American Mobile Radio became XM and CD
Radio became Sirius.
All four satellite-radio firms—XM, Sirius, WorldSpace and Global Radio—employ similar technology to
deliver their service. Music or spoken programming is first compressed using proprietary algorithms
based on the Movie Picture Experts Group Audio Layer-3 (commonly called MP3). This lets broadcasters
cram dozens of channels into a thin slice of bandwidth. After scrunching the audio data, operators must
also decide on a bit rate—ie, the kilobits per second (kbps) of data that each signal can carry. As with
streaming audio over a telephone line to a PC, a low bit rate translates into poor sound. For commercial
reasons, XM does not reveal its exact bit rates, but it confirms that it uses higher levels on music
channels to ensure CD-like quality. News and talk, however, transmit at much lower bit rates. Ground
stations then upload the signal—now packaged as 1s and 0s of digital signalling—to satellites. These
bounce the signal earthwards to mobile or (in the case of WorldSpace) stationary receivers.
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