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By now you know that engineers had
long predicted the cataclysmic flooding that struck New
Orleans. But what you might not realize is that
Katrina—a category-4 cyclone when it made landfall
in Louisiana on August 29—was not the worst-case
scenario. That would be a direct hit from a category-5
hurricane, which would send a storm surge over the city's
levees and submerge New Orleans in minutes. Anyone who
had ignored evacuation orders would drown.
New Orleans needs more protection
than levees alone can offer. But in Louisiana, a
comprehensive flood-control program had been repeatedly
rebuffed—by environmentalists who fretted over the
effects on ecosystems, by fishermen who feared for their
livelihood, by engineers dead- locked over competing
proposals, and by administrators who dismissed the plans
as too expensive.
Katrina changed everything. All
ideas—no matter how costly or far-fetched—are
back on the table. In the end, officials might opt for a
Band-Aid approach. They shouldn't. Relying solely on
patched-up old levees is like asking the U.S. Border
Patrol to fend off a full-scale military invasion.
Shielding New Orleans will require an
arsenal of technologies that work collectively. We
consulted experts from around the world to identify five
innovative solutions that together could provide a
category-5-strength defense. Although such a system would
entail a ground-up reengineering of New Orleans and much
of its nearby coastline, the payoff is a city more
defensible against nature's wrath than any other. Here's
our vision for safeguarding the city.
The History - Katrina's wind-driven waves weakened the
levees designed to keep Lake Pontchartrain from spilling
into the city eight feet below it. Some 58 billion
gallons of water—about 3 percent of the lake's
volume—flooded more than three quarters of the
city. Since the 1960s,
engineers have considered installing floodgates that
would close during hurricanes to prevent a storm surge
from backing up into the lake. But the concept was
scrapped in 1977 because of concerns that the gates would
hinder marine life and nutrients from moving back and
forth with the tides. Similar gates already shield Holland and
Britain from violent North Sea storms and tidal surges,
and are under construction in Venice. Like New Orleans,
Venice lies below sea level, inside a slowly sinking
lagoon. By 2011, engineers in Venice will have installed
an array of 78 steel-and-concrete barriers at three
inlets that separate the lagoon from the Adriatic Sea.
Together the string of barriers will span nearly a mile,
a distance greater than what would be required to
separate New Orleans from the Gulf of Mexico. "I think
you could build a solution in New Orleans similar to what
we are now building in Venice," says Maria Teresa Brotto,
the project's managing engineer. The Specs - A row of giant sea gates would stretch
across each of the two narrow waterways that link Lake
Pontchartrain to the Gulf, at Rigolets and Chef Menteur
Pass. During fair weather, the hollow gates, which would
together span about 3,000 feet, would be filled with
water. They would rest flush against the seafloor, where
they wouldn't interfere with marine life or tides.
Should a storm approach,
compressor pumps would force air into sealed chambers
inside the gates, making them buoyant. One side of each
hinged gate would be attached to a concrete foundation on
the seafloor; the opposite side would rise out of the
water. Alberto Scotti,
chief designer of the Venice project, says his sea gates
can withstand waves cresting to 16 feet. To fend off a
category-5 storm, Louisiana's gates would need to be
reinforced to handle winds upward of 160 mph. They would
also have to be taller than those in Venice. "We know
that Katrina had in some places a 27-foot storm surge,"
says Susan Jackson, a public affairs officer for the U.S.
Army Corps of Engineers New Orleans District.
The Challenge - The hurdle is cost, with estimates ranging
from $500 million to more than a billion.
The Status - Army Corps engineers are evaluating several
concepts. Preliminary hurricane-protection
recommendations are due by early summer.
The History - Vast swamps protect New Orleans from the
open ocean, but they are shrinking at the rate of an acre
every 30 minutes. Since 1930, more than 1,500 square
miles have vanished. By 2050, a third of the inland
shorelines currently sheltered by wetlands will be
exposed to open ocean. Much of the blame lies with the oil and gas
industry. Developers have dredged at least 9,000 miles of
canals through fragile wetlands to access oil and gas
reserves and to create navigable waterways. The canals
channel saltwater inland with the tides, drowning wetland
plants accustomed to shallow freshwater.
The Louisiana Department of Natural
Resources, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, and state and federal
agencies aim to reverse the destruction with a
$14-billion, 30-year wetland restoration plan called
Coast 2050. A key to its success will be pumping sediment
from the Mississippi River through huge pipelines into
surrounding marshes and swamps. Over decades, this will
fill in open areas and stimulate the spread of native
vegetation. In the short term, however, biologists are
identifying wetland flora that can adapt to saltier,
deeper water. So far, efforts to rejuvenate damaged areas
with these plants have been slow going. That's because
the typical method for wetland restoration is to plant
grasses and trees by hand—a process that is both
tedious and expensive. Herry Utomo, a geneticist at Louisiana State
University's AgCenter, has a better idea: Genetically
enhance wetland grasses to grow in almost any
environment, deep or shallow, salt or fresh. The
experimental grasses will produce hearty seeds that
sprout readily after being airdropped by crop
dusters—no more hand planting. The Specs - For the past six years, Utomo and his
research team have been selectively breeding 13 varieties
of cordgrass and California bluegrass in a
three-quarter-acre testbed. They're also working in the
lab to identify salt-tolerant genes that can be
integrated into the DNA of the evolving grass crop.
In February, Utomo will
conduct his first major field trial, dropping 100 pounds
of the enhanced seed onto Louisiana marshland. Done on a
much larger scale, this type of restoration could cost as
little as $10 per acre. Hand planting typically costs
$3,500 or more per acre. The Challenge - If the tests go well, it will still take
decades to rebuild all that has been destroyed. "But at
least we will be able to restore some areas very fast,"
Utomo says. "At the current rate of loss, we have to do
something to speed up recovery." The Status - Utomo says it will take a further two to
three years to develop a full-scale production crop of
seeds and begin wetland restoration in earnest.
The History - Shortly after Katrina barreled ashore,
Robert Bea assembled an ad hoc team of engineers and
headed to New Orleans. Bea, a professor of civil and
environmental engineering at the University of California
at Berkeley, had been invited to Louisiana by the U.S.
Army Corps of Engineers to survey Katrina's aftermath.
One problem that immediately struck him was the challenge
of getting water out of the low-lying city once it
flooded. He blames that, in part, on the open canals that
crisscross New Orleans. During a storm, the canals can
overflow or crumble entirely, spilling millions of
gallons of water into surrounding neighborhoods. From
there, the water has nowhere to go. The Specs - Bea recommends doing away with the canals
and replacing them with underground concrete sluiceways,
called boxed culverts, to form a giant plumbing system
that would carry floodwaters out of the city. Buried
under a few feet of ground cover, the culverts would be
at least 10 feet tall and 20 feet wide. "The current canals are arteries for water
to flood the neighborhoods," Bea says. "We should fill
them in, put nice parklands above them, and build a
drainage system underneath. It would be like the plumbing
in your shower." Because New Orleans is below sea level,
however, the system can't depend on gravity to move water
uphill and back into Lake Pontchartrain. For that, Bea
suggests a set of heavy-duty, storm-proof
pumps—ones that are armored, diesel-powered and
positioned on high ground so that they would keep running
no matter what Mother Nature throws at them.
The Challenge - The technology is simple, but turning
canals into culverts would require a massive engineering
effort, at a cost of about $1 million per mile of canal,
Bea estimates. (The city's three primary canals—the
17th Street, London and Orleans—and their
tributaries extend for about 50 miles, and industrial
waterways add another 50 miles.) The Status - After his tour of New Orleans, Bea drafted
a white paper entitled "What Do We Do Now?" that outlines
his culvert plan. At the very least, he argued, the
city's three primary canals should be enclosed. But
officials aren't making any promises.
The History - Submarines and aircraft carriers are
divided into many compartments. Should one begin to leak,
crewmembers can seal hatches and isolate the flooded
compartment before the entire vessel sinks. It's a
strategy that Joseph Suhayda, former director of the
Louisiana Water Resources Research Institute and a
retired civil engineering professor, says could be easily
incorporated into a new levee system for New Orleans.
Under the current system, he says, "there is no internal
management of water if the levees fail."
The Specs - Suhayda's solution is to create an
interlocking network of reinforced floodwalls that would
divide New Orleans into what he dubs "community havens."
"There are natural topographic ridges in the city that
could be linked together and subdivided to
compartmentalize the city," he explains. "Then if there
were a leak or a breach in one place, the water could be
confined." Community haven floodwalls would be less
obtrusive than existing earthen levees, which require
about three feet of width to support every foot of
height. Floodwalls used to partition the city would
resemble the narrow concrete sound barriers used to flank
freeways. Surface streets would pass through steel
floodgates. Should a storm
surge penetrate earthen levees along Lake Pontchartrain,
floodgates would be automatically sealed to stop water
from spreading south over the city. Suhayda proposes
ringing hospitals, power stations, evacuation shelters,
police and fire stations, and other essential buildings
with a second tier of floodwalls. "You want to make sure
that even if the city floods, you're not going to lose
the critical sites," he says. Suhayda estimates the cost to erect a
floodwall network at less than $1 billion and says it
could be completed in two to three years. "We could join
together some of the internal topography in New Orleans,"
he says, "and immediately provide flood protection."
The Challenge -
Even the most attractive
floodwalls would change the character of New
Orleans—blocking light and views and creating
isolated neighborhoods. The Status - Concertainer that looks like a 15-foot-long
ice tray and can be filled with earth or sand and stacked
Lego-style. A wall made from Concertainers and positioned
along Lake Pontchartrain survived Hurricane Katrina
unscathed. But so far, there are no official plans to
build similar walls to enclose and protect neighborhoods.
The History - Dutch taxpayers have spent more than $8
billion to hold back the sea, but their defenses are not
foolproof. As a backup, engineers are experimenting with
homes and businesses designed to survive floods by rising
above them. In the town of Maasbommel, the construction
firm Dura Vermeer is now completing a prototype
neighborhood of 34 "amphibious houses" designed to float
atop floodwaters. "The Dutch have been fighting water for
ages," says company spokesman Dick van Gooswilligen."So
rather than seeing it as a threat, we decided to try to
create an infrastructure and environment around water."
The concept could work in New Orleans to protect the most
vulnerable neighborhoods—those closest to levees or
farthest below sea level—if other mechanisms fail
to keep the city dry. The Specs - In Maasbommel, each $350,000 home is bolted
to a concrete foundation that functions both as basement
and life raft. On dry land, the watertight foundation
rests on a set of steel pillars. As floodwaters reach the
base of the house, it begins to rise off the
pillars—up to 18 feet if needed. To prevent it from
floating away, two taller mooring posts thread through
sleeves attached to the house. This allows for the
buoyant structure to gently rise and fall with
floodwaters the way a floating dock at a marina seesaws
up and down through high and low tides. Flexible utility
conduits preserve gas and plumbing hookups and
electricity during a storm. "The houses are not
necessarily hurricane-proof," van Gooswilligen says.
Levees and sea gates [see page 58] would still have to
absorb the brunt of the storm surge. "But [the homes]
would have worked in New Orleans in the floods after
Katrina." Eventually,
whole city blocks could be built on massive barges.
During fair weather, the barges would rest in recessed
casings on dry land, more or less unnoticeable until
floodwaters poured in and sections of the city began to
float. Engineers might even eliminate levees in the most
flood-prone parts of New Orleans. Inside this newly
formed waterfront district would be entire neighborhoods
on floating barges. The Challenge - Converting the roughly 50,000 homes leveled
by Katrina to floating structures would cost $18 billion,
or nearly double the price of rebuilding traditional
houses. But modeling even a small section of the
city—perhaps a shopping district, park or
waterfront attraction—after the Dutch system could
rally public support for future amphibious neighborhoods.
The Status -
At the moment, officials in New
Orleans aren't considering amphibious homes as part of
the rebuilding effort. That might change if the Dutch
experimental homes survive the next flood intact.
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